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**California +3.5 2.2% play**

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California +3.5 2.2% play

Tough spot here for California after they blew a 35-10 lead against MIami to have to fly back across the country, but I think Pitt is just overrated.  Their is a huge discrepency in strength of schedule when you look at the fact that Cal has faced an average opponent ypp of +0.53, comapred to Pitt at -1.25.  Pitt’s offense has looked great, but some of their stats are really inflated bc of their schedule and the 70 points they put up on Youngstown State.  Cal is a top 50 defense and their 27th ranked sack % could give Pitt’s offensive line issues. I think this game is a FG game and would not be shocked if Cal pulls off an upset as Pitt has been lucky to be 5-0. 

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