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**UCLA +4 3.3% PLAY**

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UCLA +4 3.3% PLAY

The Bruins have had a rough schedule, and compared with MInnesota they have faced a far tougher schedule with an average opponent ypp defense ranking 35th compared to 79 for MInnesota.  It’s a good reason why UCLA’s offense has struggled despite the offensive minds on their coaching staff.  They will have to go up agaisnt another top notch defense, but a defense that is traveling on the road after a major upset of USC.  It’s not a good spot for Minnesota, and UCLA has been very good ranking 27th in ypc run defense.  UCLA’s defense has typically faced top offenses as well average opponent ranking 35th, so the teams they are facing are top 50 in offense and defense, and Minnesota’s offense actually ranks 87th, so this is a step down for their defense, which I think will keep them in this game. 

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