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https://freddywills.com/ FreddyWills RSS Feed (Released Picks) Thu, 10 Sep 2020 20:32:45 +0000 en-usCopyright (C) 2011-2020 FreddyWills.com https://freddywills.com/https://freddywills.com/images/icon.png Thu, 10 Sep 2020 20:01:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7441/canesfootball-vs-uab-fb-guaranteed-or-back-30-16-l46-september-picks.html 7441
@CanesFootball vs. @UAB_FB – Guaranteed or $$ BACK **30-16 L46 September Picks
Miami / UAB Under 54.5pts 2.2% play
If these two teams played last year this total would be considerably lower. The total opened up at 47, and has moved over a TD, and I’m going to fade the steam here for a couple of reasons. We have two teams that had top 30 defenses last year, and I believe the total is being inflated because of the way UAB’s defense looked on paper last week. They gave up 35 points to Central Arkansas, but a lot of that was misleading as UAB turned the ball over a few times, and that set up Central Arkansas for three TD drives of 35 yards, 15 yards, and 4 yards. They actually held Central Arkansas to 4.4 yards per plays o that in itself was a little fluky.
Also, we have the hype of D’Eriq King coming in from Houston to play QB after not playing for the majority of the 2019 season is not going to be an overnight success especially opening up against a very well coached UAB team. Miami should still have some major issues along the offensive line, and while I think King is a major upgrade, along with the addition of SMU’s offensive corodinator Rhett Lashlee, I just don’t see why you would want to pay a premium to bet the over here. The under is the play.
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@CanesFootball vs. @UAB_FB – Guaranteed or $$ BACK **30-16 L46 September Picks
Miami / UAB Under 54.5pts 2.2% play
If these two teams played last year this total would be considerably lower. The total opened up at 47, and has moved over a TD, and I’m going to fade the steam here for a couple of reasons. We have two teams that had top 30 defenses last year, and I believe the total is being inflated because of the way UAB’s defense looked on paper last week. They gave up 35 points to Central Arkansas, but a lot of that was misleading as UAB turned the ball over a few times, and that set up Central Arkansas for three TD drives of 35 yards, 15 yards, and 4 yards. They actually held Central Arkansas to 4.4 yards per plays o that in itself was a little fluky.
Also, we have the hype of D’Eriq King coming in from Houston to play QB after not playing for the majority of the 2019 season is not going to be an overnight success especially opening up against a very well coached UAB team. Miami should still have some major issues along the offensive line, and while I think King is a major upgrade, along with the addition of SMU’s offensive corodinator Rhett Lashlee, I just don’t see why you would want to pay a premium to bet the over here. The under is the play.
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Mon, 07 Sep 2020 20:00:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7440/byufootball-vs-navyfb-guaranteed-or-back-426-330-225-509-l-756-all-sports-picks-in-septe.html 7440
@BYUFootball vs. @NAVYFB Guaranteed or $$ BACK – **426-330 +$225,509 L 756 All Sports picks in Septe
Navy +1 2.2% play
The majority of the money is coming in on BYU, and it has caused a 4 point line movement pushing the Cougars to a small 1 point favorite. Over the past 3 years teams who are an away favorite after a 3.5 point line move are just 1-6 ATS, which tells me to fade the steam. What’s driving this? Navy returns less starters, and lose their do all QB Malcolm Perry, but they replace him with a SR. QB, and the coaching staff has remained in tact, and BYU has a far trip in uncertain times to visit Navy. Add in the fact that BYU just lost their NFL caliber TE in Matt Bushman, and I don’t see how the original oddsmakers are 4 points off the opening number of Navy -3.
This was a last minute scheduled game, and appears to be the game of the week. BYU was supposed to be playing their rivalry game against Utah, while Navy was supposed to be in Ireland to play Notre Dame. This last minute change certainly benefits Navy, as BYU now on the fly has to prepare for the triple option. BYU DC Ilaisa Tuiaki doesn’t have much experience defending the option, and that’s not a good recipe for success, and in any other season there would be no way BYU would schedule a game like this, but these are uncertain times. We saw a very similar setup just a couple days ago when Army hosted MTSU. MTSU, supposedly had more talen, lost their best offensive player, had to travel up to Army to play the triple opiton with a defense that did not have experience defending it. The result was a 42-0 pounding by Army, and our clients benefited. I don’t expect the same result here, but I definitely feel that there is line value with Navy.
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@BYUFootball vs. @NAVYFB Guaranteed or $$ BACK – **426-330 +$225,509 L 756 All Sports picks in Septe
Navy +1 2.2% play
The majority of the money is coming in on BYU, and it has caused a 4 point line movement pushing the Cougars to a small 1 point favorite. Over the past 3 years teams who are an away favorite after a 3.5 point line move are just 1-6 ATS, which tells me to fade the steam. What’s driving this? Navy returns less starters, and lose their do all QB Malcolm Perry, but they replace him with a SR. QB, and the coaching staff has remained in tact, and BYU has a far trip in uncertain times to visit Navy. Add in the fact that BYU just lost their NFL caliber TE in Matt Bushman, and I don’t see how the original oddsmakers are 4 points off the opening number of Navy -3.
This was a last minute scheduled game, and appears to be the game of the week. BYU was supposed to be playing their rivalry game against Utah, while Navy was supposed to be in Ireland to play Notre Dame. This last minute change certainly benefits Navy, as BYU now on the fly has to prepare for the triple option. BYU DC Ilaisa Tuiaki doesn’t have much experience defending the option, and that’s not a good recipe for success, and in any other season there would be no way BYU would schedule a game like this, but these are uncertain times. We saw a very similar setup just a couple days ago when Army hosted MTSU. MTSU, supposedly had more talen, lost their best offensive player, had to travel up to Army to play the triple opiton with a defense that did not have experience defending it. The result was a 42-0 pounding by Army, and our clients benefited. I don’t expect the same result here, but I definitely feel that there is line value with Navy.
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Sat, 05 Sep 2020 20:00:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7439/astatefb-vs-memphisfb-premium-play-guaranteed-or-back-214-178-55-262-l-392-ncaaf-picks-i.html 7439
@AstateFB vs. @MemphisFB Premium Play – Guaranteed or $$ BACK **214-178 +$55,262 L 392 NCAAF picks i
Arkansas State +18.5 2.2% play
Memphis return 14 starters, and 6 on offense, but one of those offensive starters was Kenneth Gainwell, who had over 2,000 yards rushing/receiving last year, and Gainwell has opted out recently, which is a tremendous blow to this Memphis team. Memphis also has a new head coach, new defensive coordinator, while Arkansas State will have both theri OC/DC in their second year as well as Blake Anderson in his 7th year.
Arkansas State had a rough year last year with injuries and return 15 starters, and added a key transfer in Fresno State LB Justin Rice, who was a MW pre-season conference player of the year. He had 112 tackles for Fresno last season. Arkansas State gave a very good AAC team SMU a run for their money early in the season ago losing 37-30. This is also not a very far travel spot for Arkansas State, and Memphis max capacity for this game is only 4,537 fans, which has been sold out.
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@AstateFB vs. @MemphisFB Premium Play – Guaranteed or $$ BACK **214-178 +$55,262 L 392 NCAAF picks i
Arkansas State +18.5 2.2% play
Memphis return 14 starters, and 6 on offense, but one of those offensive starters was Kenneth Gainwell, who had over 2,000 yards rushing/receiving last year, and Gainwell has opted out recently, which is a tremendous blow to this Memphis team. Memphis also has a new head coach, new defensive coordinator, while Arkansas State will have both theri OC/DC in their second year as well as Blake Anderson in his 7th year.
Arkansas State had a rough year last year with injuries and return 15 starters, and added a key transfer in Fresno State LB Justin Rice, who was a MW pre-season conference player of the year. He had 112 tackles for Fresno last season. Arkansas State gave a very good AAC team SMU a run for their money early in the season ago losing 37-30. This is also not a very far travel spot for Arkansas State, and Memphis max capacity for this game is only 4,537 fans, which has been sold out.
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Sat, 05 Sep 2020 13:30:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7438/2-play-army-vs-mtsu-guaranteed-or-back-55-41-l96-sports-picks-in-the-month-of-september.html 7438
2% Play *Army vs. MTSU – Guaranteed or $$ Back – 55-41 L96 sports picks in the month of September
Army -3.5 2.2% play
There is line value with an open at 5.5 dropping to 3.5. I always like to fade line movement in the early season, as there are many unknowns, and when you fade that line movement you actually get line value.
Middle Tennessee was supposed to play Duke in week 1, and then possibly Troy, but they found out just 3 weeks ago that they will face Army. Now 3 weeks to prepare for the option seems like a long time, but this group and this coaching staff has not seen the triple option since 2013. Middle Tennessee gave up 200+ rushing yards 12 times over the last two years and went 3-9 during that span. They also were 0-6 on the road last year, and their QB Aster O’hara who had a good year last year had a QB rating 40 points lower on the road than at home. He also has to operate as his top two RB just opted out for the 2020 season.
Army likely won’t have any guys opting out or quitting on their brothers, and it’s a huge advantage in my opinion for them to be home in this uncertain times. Jeff Monken is a guy I typically like to back when he’s a dog, but as a small favorite against a team that hasn’t seen the option, and has question marks on their defense, I think we are getting value here as Army should be able to control the game.
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2% Play *Army vs. MTSU – Guaranteed or $$ Back – 55-41 L96 sports picks in the month of September
Army -3.5 2.2% play
There is line value with an open at 5.5 dropping to 3.5. I always like to fade line movement in the early season, as there are many unknowns, and when you fade that line movement you actually get line value.
Middle Tennessee was supposed to play Duke in week 1, and then possibly Troy, but they found out just 3 weeks ago that they will face Army. Now 3 weeks to prepare for the option seems like a long time, but this group and this coaching staff has not seen the triple option since 2013. Middle Tennessee gave up 200+ rushing yards 12 times over the last two years and went 3-9 during that span. They also were 0-6 on the road last year, and their QB Aster O’hara who had a good year last year had a QB rating 40 points lower on the road than at home. He also has to operate as his top two RB just opted out for the 2020 season.
Army likely won’t have any guys opting out or quitting on their brothers, and it’s a huge advantage in my opinion for them to be home in this uncertain times. Jeff Monken is a guy I typically like to back when he’s a dog, but as a small favorite against a team that hasn’t seen the option, and has question marks on their defense, I think we are getting value here as Army should be able to control the game.
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Sun, 02 Feb 2020 20:16:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7432/nfl-super-bowl-2nd-half-total-play.html 7432
NFL Super Bowl 2nd Half Total Play
Over 26.5 pts 2nd half
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NFL Super Bowl 2nd Half Total Play
Over 26.5 pts 2nd half
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Sun, 02 Feb 2020 18:30:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7430/5-5-nfl-pod-guaranteed-or-back-74-53-96-886-l-127-max-rated-nfl-picks.html 7430
5.5% NFL POD Guaranteed or $$ BACK 74-53 +$96,886 L 127 Max Rated NFL picks
Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD
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5.5% NFL POD Guaranteed or $$ BACK 74-53 +$96,886 L 127 Max Rated NFL picks
Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD
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Sun, 19 Jan 2020 18:40:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7429/2-2-play-packers-vs-49ers-guaranteed-or-back-51-38-26-556-l-89-all-sports-2-bankroll.html 7429
2.2% play – Packers vs. 49ers – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 51-38 +$26,556 L 89 All Sports 2% bankroll
Packers +8 2.2% play
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2.2% play – Packers vs. 49ers – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 51-38 +$26,556 L 89 All Sports 2% bankroll
Packers +8 2.2% play
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Sun, 19 Jan 2020 18:40:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7427/5-5-max-nfl-pod-74-52-102-386-l-126-max-rated-nfl-picks.html 7427
5.5% MAX NFL POD **74-52 +$102,386 L 126 Max Rated NFL picks
Packers /49ers Under 46.5 5.5% NFL POD
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5.5% MAX NFL POD **74-52 +$102,386 L 126 Max Rated NFL picks
Packers /49ers Under 46.5 5.5% NFL POD
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Sun, 19 Jan 2020 15:05:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7428/chiefs-vs-titans-3-3-play-guaranteed-or-back-72-58-36-650-l-130-nfl-3-bankroll.html 7428
Chiefs vs. Titans – 3.3% play – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 72-58 +$36,650 L 130 NFL 3% bankroll
Titans +7 3.3% play
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Chiefs vs. Titans – 3.3% play – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 72-58 +$36,650 L 130 NFL 3% bankroll
Titans +7 3.3% play
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Mon, 13 Jan 2020 20:00:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7426/clemson-vs-lsu-prop-play-2-play.html 7426
Clemson vs. LSU Prop Play – 2% play
Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushing yards U95.5 2% play -125
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Clemson vs. LSU Prop Play – 2% play
Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushing yards U95.5 2% play -125
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Mon, 13 Jan 2020 20:00:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7425/5-5-max-ncaaf-pod-9-1-ats-career-national-championship-guaranteed-or-back.html 7425
5.5% MAX NCAAF POD – 9-1 ATS Career National Championship – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Clemson +5.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
These two almost met up in the semifinal, and oddsmakers would have opened up Clemson as a 1 point favorite, and then LSU dominated Oklahoma as I figured they would, and Clemson to many got lucky against Ohio State. Now we have a 6 or 6.5 line adjustment, that I just can’t pass on. We waited to see another 6, and it doesn’t appear we will despite 70% of the tickets and $ on LSU.
LSU typically has the edge with their assistants, but not in this game. The one thing Clemson does is they pay their assistants so they stay around. It is Brett Venables 9th years the DC at Clemson, and OC Tony Elliot’s 5th year, and they have played 3 Championship games and won 2. In previous match-ups LSU had advantages with their coordinators. This is the opposite problem Alabama has as their coaches jump to other jobs and Nick Saban is left trying to find guys to replace them. Clemson has kept their coordinators and it has paid dividends.
Statistically I don’t see an advantage between LSU and Clemson. The ACC actually played well during bowl season. The main difference is Clemson’s defense has faced far weaker offenses, but their defensive rankings are far better. I think Clemson can come up with a turnover in this game they rank 6th in TO margin, and they rank 8th in pressuring the QB while LSU ranks 71st in protecting Burrow, and that match up comes with Clemson facing the tougher schedule of pass blocking teams. Clemson’s secondary ranks 1st in the nation in opposing QB rating, while LSU comes in at 7, but in this matchup Clemson actually faced the better group of QB’s.
Clemson 15-1 their last 16 vs. the SEC, and they are getting disrespected here yet again as a dog in the Championship game. Talent is no difference, and you could argue Clemson has more. Coaching staff edges to Clemson, and the experience on Clemson sidelines should outweight the home field advantage that LSU has playing in New Orleans. LSU also has an edge on special teams, but I expect Clemson to be cleaned up in that area tonight as well. The biggest part of my handicap this year is the line value we are getting here with an over reaction to the last game, along with Clemson’s experience and coaching staff, and the fact that these two teams are very much similar in their statistical profile. Clemson’s #’s are actually better they just happen to play in the ACC, and didn’t blow out their semifinal opponent, Ohio State who should have held onto the #1 spot in the playoff.
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5.5% MAX NCAAF POD – 9-1 ATS Career National Championship – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Clemson +5.5 5.5% NCAAF POD
These two almost met up in the semifinal, and oddsmakers would have opened up Clemson as a 1 point favorite, and then LSU dominated Oklahoma as I figured they would, and Clemson to many got lucky against Ohio State. Now we have a 6 or 6.5 line adjustment, that I just can’t pass on. We waited to see another 6, and it doesn’t appear we will despite 70% of the tickets and $ on LSU.
LSU typically has the edge with their assistants, but not in this game. The one thing Clemson does is they pay their assistants so they stay around. It is Brett Venables 9th years the DC at Clemson, and OC Tony Elliot’s 5th year, and they have played 3 Championship games and won 2. In previous match-ups LSU had advantages with their coordinators. This is the opposite problem Alabama has as their coaches jump to other jobs and Nick Saban is left trying to find guys to replace them. Clemson has kept their coordinators and it has paid dividends.
Statistically I don’t see an advantage between LSU and Clemson. The ACC actually played well during bowl season. The main difference is Clemson’s defense has faced far weaker offenses, but their defensive rankings are far better. I think Clemson can come up with a turnover in this game they rank 6th in TO margin, and they rank 8th in pressuring the QB while LSU ranks 71st in protecting Burrow, and that match up comes with Clemson facing the tougher schedule of pass blocking teams. Clemson’s secondary ranks 1st in the nation in opposing QB rating, while LSU comes in at 7, but in this matchup Clemson actually faced the better group of QB’s.
Clemson 15-1 their last 16 vs. the SEC, and they are getting disrespected here yet again as a dog in the Championship game. Talent is no difference, and you could argue Clemson has more. Coaching staff edges to Clemson, and the experience on Clemson sidelines should outweight the home field advantage that LSU has playing in New Orleans. LSU also has an edge on special teams, but I expect Clemson to be cleaned up in that area tonight as well. The biggest part of my handicap this year is the line value we are getting here with an over reaction to the last game, along with Clemson’s experience and coaching staff, and the fact that these two teams are very much similar in their statistical profile. Clemson’s #’s are actually better they just happen to play in the ACC, and didn’t blow out their semifinal opponent, Ohio State who should have held onto the #1 spot in the playoff.
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Sun, 12 Jan 2020 18:40:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7424/4-play-seahawks-vs-packers-guaranteed-or-back.html 7424
4% Play – #Seahawks vs. #Packers – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Packers -205 4% play
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4% Play – #Seahawks vs. #Packers – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Packers -205 4% play
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Sun, 12 Jan 2020 15:40:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7421/nfl-total-play-of-the-week-guaranteed-or-back.html 7421
NFL Total Play of the Week – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Chiefs / Texans Over 51 3.3% play
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NFL Total Play of the Week – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Chiefs / Texans Over 51 3.3% play
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Sat, 11 Jan 2020 20:15:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7422/3-3-play-titans-vs-ravens-guaranteed-or-back-111-87-75-997-l-198-nfl.html 7422
3.3% Play Titans vs. Ravens – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 111-87 +$75,997 L 198 NFL
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3.3% Play Titans vs. Ravens – Guaranteed or $$ BACK 111-87 +$75,997 L 198 NFL
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Sat, 11 Jan 2020 16:35:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7423/vikings-vs-49ers-guaranteed-or-back.html 7423
#Vikings vs. #49ers Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Vikings +7 2.2% play
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#Vikings vs. #49ers Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Vikings +7 2.2% play
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Sun, 05 Jan 2020 13:00:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7420/3-3-nfl-early-bird-divisional-play-vikings-vs-saints-guaranteed-or-back.html 7420
3.3% NFL Early Bird Divisional Play #Vikings vs. #Saints – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Vikings +8 3.3% play
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3.3% NFL Early Bird Divisional Play #Vikings vs. #Saints – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Vikings +8 3.3% play
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Sat, 04 Jan 2020 20:15:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7419/nfl-free-play-of-the-weekend-53-29-38-327-l-82-nfl-free-picks.html 7419
NFL Free Play of the Weekend – 53-29 +$38,327 L 82 NFL Free Picks
Patriots -4.5 1.1% play
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NFL Free Play of the Weekend – 53-29 +$38,327 L 82 NFL Free Picks
Patriots -4.5 1.1% play
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Sat, 04 Jan 2020 16:35:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7417/4-4-nfl-teaser-of-the-week-guaranteed-or-back-100-70-77-421-l-170-all-sports-teasers.html 7417
4.4% NFL Teaser of the Week – Guaranteed or $$ BACK – 100-70 +$77,421 L 170 All Sports Teasers
Bills +8.5 / Eagles +7.5 4.4% Teaser of the Week
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4.4% NFL Teaser of the Week – Guaranteed or $$ BACK – 100-70 +$77,421 L 170 All Sports Teasers
Bills +8.5 / Eagles +7.5 4.4% Teaser of the Week
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Sat, 04 Jan 2020 11:30:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7416/battle-of-the-bell-tulane-vs-smiss-guaranteed-or-back.html 7416
Battle of the Bell – #Tulane vs. #Smiss – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Southern Miss +7.5 3.3% play
This was an old rivalry game that ended when Tulane left for the AAC, there is a Bell trophy on the lin here, and both teams should be motivated to play here in Texas. I think this line is a bit inflated for AAC bias, and they haven’t looked great going 3-2 SU & ATS, while C-USA has gone 3-4 SU & ATS. The two conferences have faced each other twice this bowl season, UCF crushed Marshall, but 5 turnovers had a lot to do with that. The game was a lot closer and the other game was FAU dominating SMU, and FAU had player suspensions. These two teams lost their last few games of the season, while Tulane lost by 17 at SMU, Southern Miss lost by 17 at FAU, and then as I mentioned FAU crushed SMU in their bowl game without a head coach and multiple player suspensions.
Southern Miss also has the match up edge in this one. They are a top 30 run defense across the board in success rate, explosive plays allowed, and ypc. The explosive run plays allowed they rank 23rd, which is a big deal, because Tulane has really relied on explosive run plays. Southern Miss has also been really good defending running QB’s all year long, and held Miss State’s heavy running QB’s to 16 yards on 15 carries for example. Tulane struggles when they can’t run the ball. When they have faced a top 60 run defense they are 0-6 and average 22 points per game, which is 11 points less than their season average.
The other match up edge here that I like is Tulane’s defense struggles getting pressure ranking 111th in sack % and they rank 79th in opposing QB Rating. They also just have 7 interceptions in 11 games vs. P5 opponents. Southern Miss relies heavily on the passing game, and are 5-0 vs. theams that are outside the top 75 in passing defense. 12 of the 15 interceptions that Abraham has thrown on the year have come against top defensive units – Alabama, Miss State, Western Kentucky, Louisiana Tech, and Florida Atlantic. 4 of those 5 rank in the top 50, and Miss State is an SEC defense with speed. Abraham did have very good game against UAB’s defense that ranked 23rd in QB rating 28th in sack % so he is capable.
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Battle of the Bell – #Tulane vs. #Smiss – Guaranteed or $$ BACK
Southern Miss +7.5 3.3% play
This was an old rivalry game that ended when Tulane left for the AAC, there is a Bell trophy on the lin here, and both teams should be motivated to play here in Texas. I think this line is a bit inflated for AAC bias, and they haven’t looked great going 3-2 SU & ATS, while C-USA has gone 3-4 SU & ATS. The two conferences have faced each other twice this bowl season, UCF crushed Marshall, but 5 turnovers had a lot to do with that. The game was a lot closer and the other game was FAU dominating SMU, and FAU had player suspensions. These two teams lost their last few games of the season, while Tulane lost by 17 at SMU, Southern Miss lost by 17 at FAU, and then as I mentioned FAU crushed SMU in their bowl game without a head coach and multiple player suspensions.
Southern Miss also has the match up edge in this one. They are a top 30 run defense across the board in success rate, explosive plays allowed, and ypc. The explosive run plays allowed they rank 23rd, which is a big deal, because Tulane has really relied on explosive run plays. Southern Miss has also been really good defending running QB’s all year long, and held Miss State’s heavy running QB’s to 16 yards on 15 carries for example. Tulane struggles when they can’t run the ball. When they have faced a top 60 run defense they are 0-6 and average 22 points per game, which is 11 points less than their season average.
The other match up edge here that I like is Tulane’s defense struggles getting pressure ranking 111th in sack % and they rank 79th in opposing QB Rating. They also just have 7 interceptions in 11 games vs. P5 opponents. Southern Miss relies heavily on the passing game, and are 5-0 vs. theams that are outside the top 75 in passing defense. 12 of the 15 interceptions that Abraham has thrown on the year have come against top defensive units – Alabama, Miss State, Western Kentucky, Louisiana Tech, and Florida Atlantic. 4 of those 5 rank in the top 50, and Miss State is an SEC defense with speed. Abraham did have very good game against UAB’s defense that ranked 23rd in QB rating 28th in sack % so he is capable.
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Sat, 04 Jan 2020 10:34:00 +0000 Freddyhttps://freddywills.com/pick/7418/patriots-vs-titans-total-play-19-13-21-300-l-32-nfl-totals.html 7418
#Patriots vs. #Titans Total Play – 19-13 +$21,300 L 32 NFL Totals
Patriots / Titans Over 44.5 2.2% play
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#Patriots vs. #Titans Total Play – 19-13 +$21,300 L 32 NFL Totals
Patriots / Titans Over 44.5 2.2% play
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