My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Sprinkle is 1-10 ATS  after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997.

Turner in his teams last 33 games  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen average ppg diff of -1.4 ppg.UC-IRVINE is 9-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on UC Irvine to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

COLORADO ST is 11-3 UNDER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.8 ppg.COLORADO ST is 9-2 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO ST is 20-9 UNDER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO ST is 7-0 UNDER   in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. 

Hopkins is 21-11 UNDER  in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COLORADO ST) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record.are 167-103 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

 GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, ARIZONA - KAREL VEJMELKA

The Coyotes have only scored  three more than 3 goals in 3 of  their L/11 overall and against a St.Louis team that allows an average of just over 3 gpg on the road this season Im betting they stay within their usual fairly low scoring parameters. Yes, the Coyotes started fast offensively this season, but now they are in full regression mode. Also the last time these teams met a 6-5 score went on the board, but both sides will be more weary here in the rematch.

ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. (St.Louis scored a 6-4 victory last time out and offensive regression and a better defensive effort is a projected expectation) Goaltender Jordan Binnington made 42 saves to earn the victory, but the Blues know they need to give him more help and this will be key here this evening.

Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2-1 in Blues last 8 overall.

Under is 8-3-1 in Blues last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.

NHL  team against the total (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 85-43 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.9 gpg. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two experienced sides, in a game my projections estimate will be a close back and forth affair. Wisconsin has not faced the same competition as Marquette, but playing at home here gives them an edge on this line. Last year Wisconsin won by a 80-77 count and here as hosts  I wont be surprised if there is a similar outcome. 

WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 season

WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Miami took the first game of this back to back series by a 142-132 count, but Im betting they wont come out of this one so easily vs this run and gun Pacers side. That was a big output for the Heat and now regression is expected. However, the Pacers offense never seems to slow down as they are the highest scoring team in the NBA. Advantage Pacers. 

MIAMI is 17-29 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 20-32 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Orlando is on a roll having won 10 straight games, and have the young legs and ambition not to let up here in Brooklyn tonight. Yes, the Magic played last night in a 130-125 win last night  but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned teams and deserve respect here as underdogs. Note: ORLANDO is 13-2 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS  in all games this season.ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 23-44 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 22-10 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Dallas looked exhausted last night in a 108-94 loss to Memphis and now in back to back games will be even more tired and less likely to be in the shape to run and gun with this sometimes explosive visiting  Oklahoma City side. Recently the Mavs have been paying  better attention to D, and as a result have not been as proficient offensively, but it was a problem they needed address. Because of thier better defensive efforts they have seen 4 of their L/5 fail to eclipse the total. Here tonight on tired legs and going against  a Thunder side that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry another more disciplined D plan should be in place, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.4 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 41-26 UNDER  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/OKLAHOMA CITY ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored.

Play under

This is biggest spread in the history of the Big 10 Championship game. This behemoth line is what we get to bet in here with Iowa . Considering Big 10 chalk has failed to cover 8 of the L/12 events , it becomes obvious they we may have some top tier value with a team with a top tier D, playing at home. It thus must be noted that HC Harbaugh vs top tier Ds, who are .800 or better opposition allowing less  than 12.5 PPG, is just  1-5 ATS as a  big chalk fav  of -18  plus points. After taking on the Buckeyes last week in a close win Im not sure Michigan will be 100%  after that physical game and could also be in an emotional letdown state at the worst possible time. Im not saying the Hawkeyes will win, but covering is definitely a strong possibility here.Ferentz is in 32  vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA has seen a average ppg diff of - 3 ppg. 

Play on Iowa to cover

Florida State has average 38.3 ppg this season while Louisville has scored and average of 33 ppg and an average of 36 ppg on turf. My projections see the Cardinal/Florida State both scoring 28 plus points making this totals offering vulnerable  . Note: LOUISVILLE is 6-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average fo 71.3 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST L/18 when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 60.5 ppg go on the board. 

Note:  Cardinal  last three matchups to end the regular season - vs. Virginia, at Miami and vs. Kentucky - saw them  Cardinal give  up and average of 31.0 points and 403.0 yards per game. Even with a third string QB expected to play, Im betting the Seminoles do enough damage to get this score to eclipse the total. 

LOUISVILLE L/25 games  after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games have seen a combined average of 58.6 ppg scored. Brohm is 20-5 OVER   when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Brohm is 10-1 OVER  in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 72.4 ppg scored. 

Play over

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (LOUISVILLE) - quick starting team - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the first half, after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 32-9 OVER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

Im doing the unthinkable and taking Georgia a program that has won 29 straight games to take out Nick Sabans Alabama this week and more importantly to cover. My power rankings suggest the Bulldogs are the best team in the country, and despite of Alabama looking good down the stretch, did not look like one of HC Sabans  more cohesive or even talented groups that  he has mentored in his long coaching career. That was most evident to me in the Tides loss to Texas , a side that is of the top tier variety, but not in the same spectrum as Georgia. 

Key : No opponent reached 150 rushing yards against Georgia the past three seasons and no opponent has scored more than 23 points total against the Bulldogs. 

Bottom line: This is by far the best defense Alabama has faced this season .On the flipside the  Bulldogs  get to crack open the gaps behind RB  K Milton  vs a Tide side  that has given up more than 200 yards rushing in two of the last four games.  Milton has rushed for 349 yards on 41 carries and 5 touchdowns the last three games with an 8.5 yards per carry average.

Saban is 7-20 ATS  vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA.Saban is 9-18 ATSL/27 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA

GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Georgia to cover 

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels  host the Boise State Cowboys this afternoon are playing at home . The Rebels have the better record which sets up a nice trend to continue as coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in where  his side owns  the better win percentage on the season, which UNLV does. On the season UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the underdog role. Yes,  I know Boise State has won 3 straight but that kind of run has not historically been kind to them as they are 3-6 L/9 SU off a .3 or more game  SU/ATS positive run. 

CFB Road favorites (BOISE ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 43-86 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against  67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UNLV to cover

Statistical analysis based on recent performances might make these teams seem closely matched. But from an empirical  view point home field advantage and what my power rankings suggest is the more talented side, laying this little lumber makes for a viable wagering opportunity with a team that has been ranked top 25 for much of this season. Add to that SMU QB SMU's star quarterback, Preston Stone, broke his fibula in last week's battle  with Navy. The Mustangs will now turn to redshirt freshman Kevin Jennings who despite of being talented is just not as prolific as Stone. 

Tulane is 9-0 ATS L/9 as  a favorite of 7 points or less. SMU is 0-7 ATS   in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS  in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games. 

Road underdogs (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 12-35 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tulane to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Both these teams can really shoot it. The Bluejays are a potent offensive club, averaging 83.3 points per game while shooting 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range. Meanwhile, the Huskers are 13-3 over the last 16 games dating back to Feb. 1, 2023. A big reason for that is NU's offense, as NU has averaged 77.6 ppg on 48 percent shooting in that stretch.Nebraska is currently averaging 81.6 points per game, which is fourth in the Big Ten as of Dec. 1. The last time NU averaged more points per game in its first seven games was in 1995-96 (89.7 ppg).Hoiberg is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of NEBRASKA.Hoiberg is 14-4 OVER  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of NEBRASKA.NEBRASKA is 7-0 OVER   after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Play over

The Tampa Bays Bucs' will be with out three top tier    defenders for this  this game: LB Lavonte David (groin), LB Devin White (foot) and CB Jamel Dean (ankle) making a inept Carolina D, more proficient. Thats not a good omen considering  The Bucs D since they  came offt heir  bye  in Week 6,  rank last in the NFL in EPA/play (0.069) On the flipside the Bucks offense with Bake Mayfield at the helm have proven to be bad bets when favored cashing just 13 of 38 times for a go against 65% conversion rate for his batting backers. With that said, Ill recommend we take the points with a Carolina team that has not pressure on them what so ever, as their play off hopes are already dead in the water. 

)TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS L/10  vs. struggling  passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att in the second half of the season.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CAROLINA) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games are 97-47 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road teams (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 87-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL road pups with one or less wins entering their eighth through 12th contest of the season are 63-30-5 (68%) ATS since 2003, covering by an veage  3.6 points per game.

Play on Carolina to cover

The Lions looked bad in their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers, and have shown alot of signs of weakness at times this season despite of the consistent accolades they get from the media. From a trends perspectivee the Lions have also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 off a SU chalk loss

   . Meanwhile, the Saints are desperate and need a victory badly to  stay inNFC Playoff race.as well as NFC South contention . I know the Saints have not looked good of late, but they are  New  s 6-0 ATS when coming off back-to-back SUATS defeats and are  7-2 ATS in this series and 4-0 ATS when getting points .  NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS L/20  vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season

DETROIT is 16-31 ATSas a road favorite since 1992.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 45-91 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans Saints to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Play under

When you see a Detroit Lions game you want almost automatically look for reasons to bet the over, but this is not one of those games here in New Orleans vs the inept offense of the Saints that are averaging  just 18.3 ppg at home this season. Note  When team from the  NFC   are non-division Conference road favorites the total has failed to be eclipsed 9 of the L/10 times. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER  versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more  rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 UNDER  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER  versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more  yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 28 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 UNDER  in December games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 30.5 ppg scored. 

Allen is 9-1 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored.

Campbell is 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 40.6 ppg scored.

NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 28-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL team against the total (DETROIT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 33-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

Broncos have now won 5 in a row SU after starting the season 1-5 SU and deserve respect here as underdogs this week vs the Texans. Nothing comes easily for the Texans this season, and Im betting if they get the win here this week, it wont come easily. Advantage taking the points. 

HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more  PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

DENVER is 6-3 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 and won the most recent meeting here in Texas. 

Payton is 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better in all games he has coached since 1992.

Play on Denver to cover

Cleveland has played low scoring games at home this season, but have gone over the total in all 5 of their road tilts with a combined average of 54.3 ppg scored. Last week Cleveland played in Denver, and that brings into play a situation where non division road  teams that get a whiff of fresh breathable air after coming from the Mile Hight city are 9-0-1 over dating back 4 seasons. Im betting a Cleveland team that has not done much scoring here of late  to feel rejuvenated and come out here swinging  and put more points on the board than the lines-makers expect.  Meanwhile the  Rams are a side that is finally getting their offense in gear off scoring 37 points last time out will primed to keep that train going. McVay is 12-4 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored.

Play over

Hey I know the Washington D has looked atrocious of late , but the coaching staff have really been focusing on  slowing down their game  and for a more  focused concerted effort on being  more physical and disciplined on defense. Yes, I also know how explosive Miami has been, but with this being their 2nd straight away game a little bit of regression must be expected from this road weary group, playing a in division matchup. Only one of the Fins last 7 games has eclisped this totals offering and Im betting on another one staying under the number. the L/3 meetings here in Washington between these sides has stayed on the low side of the offered total. 

WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 33.6 ppg scored. Rivera is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or better  rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 36 ppg .Rivera is 11-1 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. 

MIAMI is 26-9 UNDER L/35 against NFC East division opponents with a combined average of 39 ppg scored.

NFL Road teams against the total (MIAMI) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored.

Play on the under