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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Currently Testing 46-21 69% CBB run that has made dime players more than $22000.00 in bankroll expanding profits ! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Dec 05, 2022 Bucks vs Magic |
OVER 225 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Dec 05, 2022 Avalanche vs Flyers |
UNDER 6 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Colorado has seen 9 of their L11 games stay on the low side of the total, while Philadelphia has failed to eclipse 5 of their L/6 totals offerings. Im betting on these trends continuing to favor the under based on matchup projections. Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 road games. Under is 4-0-2 in Flyers last 6 vs. Central. Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 home games. COLORADO is 8-2 UNDER against struggling power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 46-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Dec 05, 2022 Suns vs Mavs |
Suns +3½ -110 at Caesars |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Phoenix Suns have owned the regular-season matches with Dallas over the last three-plus seasons, but in last years play offs against the Mavericks they were blasted in the final two games of that series and fell flat on their faces. You can bet that the Suns will be in redemption mode tonight and breathing fire in all out effort to get back some lost respect. Both sides are also operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt as Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games while the Mavericks have victories in just two of their last seven tilts. With that said motivation and form rest with the visitors getting points.
Williams is 24-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of PHOENIX. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Dec 05, 2022 Pacers vs Warriors |
Pacers +10 -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Pacers looked lifeless last night in their 2nd straight loss but they have proven resilient in the recent past cashing 19 of their L/26 games ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of playing well, are just 3-7 ATS off a win and just 2-5 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points. The Pacers have covered 4 of their L.5 trips to Golden State and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Im betting on a competitive effort from the Pacers in redemption mode . NBA Road teams (INDIANA) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 28-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pacers to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2022 Kent State vs Gonzaga |
Kent State +16 -115 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Kent State Flashes have won five of their eight games by 20+ points, and are 1-1 on the road and deserve respect here despite of the top tier Gonzaga program they are facing. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are coming off a heart breaking 64-63 loss against No. 6 Baylor in the first Peacock Classic in Sioux Falls, S.D and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a under rated foe KENT ST is 15-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS in non-conference games this season GONZAGA is 22-38 ATS L/60 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season which they were against Baylor last time out. Kent State to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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