This is a 10* PACIFIC DIV. TOM on the UNDER Warriors/Clippers.

These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm anticipating more of a defensive battle here in what is in fact the second game of a back-to-back matchup.

Golden State is 9-9 and LA is 8-10 after the Warriors at home vs. the Clippers two nights ago by a score of 120-114. 

Note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. 

With the shift in venue, expect a much more defensive affair.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BK on Northern Colorado.

I like the way this one sets up for the home side. 

CSU Northridge is 5-3, while Northern Colorado is 3-4. 

The Bears are 2-1 at home. They're off a tight 74-72 loss as 4.5-point dogs at San Diego last time out. They've faced some stiff competition, including Colorado State and New Mexico State. 

The same can't be said for the Matadors, who somehow pulled off the 80-69 upset road win at Pacific last time out (but note that they're just 3-6 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS road win as a dog vs. an opponent.) 

These teams played last year and Northern Colorado won 70-63 on the road. Now at home here in 2023, I think we'll see an even bigger blowout this time around.

Lay the points, the play is NORTHERN COLORADO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOY on Newcastle.

Manchester United is 8-5. It's coming off a mid-week Champions league loss.

Newcastle is one spot ahead of the visiting side sitting at 7-4. Newcastle is also off a mind-week Champions league loss.

If recent history is any precedence, then the Magpies have to be liking their chances to rebound here in regulation, as they've won the last two in this series.

They've also won six of the last seven here at St. James Park. 

Newcastle does have a plethora of injuries, but so to does Manchester United.

All things being equal, this one is in fact not equal whatseover in my estimation. This play is all about "perceived value," of which I feel we're getting a TON of here at this price.

Lay the price, the play is indeed on NEWCASTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG TEN GOM on Michigan.

With a spread and a total like this, what are the oddsmakers trying to tell us?

If you're wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the storylines for each team heading into this one, the cast of characters on each side, and their strengths and weaknesses.

And if you don't know, then just go quickly read an ESPN article on this game, and then come back to my succinct opinion on why I believe that the Wolverines are going to trash the Hawkeyes today.

With a spread like this, clearly, no one is giving Iowa a chance. However, early money has nearly 70% of the action on the underdog here. They also don't think this is going to be a very high-scoring game with an O/U like this.

So they don't think Iowa will put many, if ANY points on the board in this one.

The Hawkeyes are no joke. Their defense is fantastic. But I just don't see the Wolverines slipping up here. In fact, I'm expecting them to put on a show. 

JJ McCarthy has only thrown four INTs this season, and he didn't have any in last week's win over Ohio State. 

This Michigan team looks after the football and is just damn efficient in all phases.

Iowa doesn't stand a chance here, so lay the points with confidence.

The play is MICHIGAN.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG 12 GOM on Texas.

The Big 12 Championship game features two really good teams, but one's a lot better than the other. And that's why we have a really big spread here.

There are a lot of implications for each side here, but the biggest one is that if Texas wins this game, then it'll be on the short-list for a CFP spot.

If you're wagering on this game, you likely already know the cast of characters on each team and the strengths and weaknesses from each side.

Texas probably doesn't deserve a spot in the CFP, but I do think it can get the job done here. I just can't see the Cowboys keeping pace down the stretch. The Longhorns lost to OKST last year by a score of 41-34 as 6.5-point favorites, and that fact also leads me to believe that they'll keep the foot on the gas here from start to finish.

In my opinion, this will turn out to be a rout once it's all said and done.

Lay the points, the play is TEXAS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BATTLE on Eastern Kentucky.

Here at the Diddle Arena, I'm expecting a battle until the end. 

EKU is 3-2 and WKU is 5-3. 

EKU is off the 77-76 win over Troy. It averages 91.2 PPG, while allowing 75.8. 

WKU is averaging 81.1 PPG, while allowing 74.4.  

This really is a case of this being a bad matchup for the Hilltoppers. Look for EKU's faster-pace and high-scoring ways to keep it competitive in this contest late.

Grab the points, the play is EKU.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* AFC NON-DIV GOM on the Texans.

Houston is now 6-5 after a tough 24-21 home loss here to Jacksonville last weekend. Previous to that the Texans had won three in a row.

I think the home side gets back on track here this weekend in another tough matchup.

At one point this year the Broncos lost 70-20 to Miami, but now the Broncos enter on a five-game win streak (4-1 ATS.) 

It's Denver that's now the over-rated team here. Completely overlooked by the oddsmakers and most of the public to this point, they majority of the early public money sees them backing the "flavor of the week" and grabbing the points.

But Denver is 3-6 ATS in its last nine after five or more SU victories in a row.

Look for Houston rookie CJ Stroud to put the pressure on Russell Wilson and for the home side to eventually pull away for the comfortable win and cover.

The play is HOUSTON.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* AFC TOW on the OVER Chargers/Patriots.

At 2-9, the Patriots are out of the running for a playoff spot, while the 4-7 Chargers are still mathematically in the conversation.

Regardless, two teams that have nothing to lose but another game collide here and I think we'll see some offensive fireworks.

The Patriots stink and their QB issue remains a problem. New England has lost four straight, and it's seen the total go UNDER in three straight. New England though has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.

LA is off three straight losses of its own, which is also significant to note in this case as the Chargers have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

With each team opening things up offensively like I anticipate, all signs point to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP