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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 02, 2022
Marlins vs Nationals
Nationals
-103 at Ace
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Washington (4:05 ET): The Nationals were dealt a 6-3 loss last night and are now just 1-9 vs. the Marlins this season, including 0-4 at home. But now is not the time to abandon ship! Yes, I lost with the Nats last night as a tough stretch for starter Josiah Gray continued. But we’re getting the home team at plus money today and in my opinion they’re worth the investment. Miami remains well below .500 for the year on the road (16-24) and yesterday marked the first time in eight games they topped four runs. 

Both starters in this game have made three previous starts. For Miami, Daniel Castano has a 3.18 ERA and a 1.412 WHIP. He’s not factored into any of the decisions, but the team is 2-1 in those three games as they probably should be as two of the starts were quite good. But strikeout numbers are not impressive with only 10 in 17 IP. This will also be just the second time Castano is starting on the road. The Marlins lost the first time. The bullpen, which will be called upon at some point, has a 5.13 road ERA. 

The Nats turn to Jackson Tetreault. He has higher ERA than Castano, but the exact same WHIP. The team is also 2-1 in his three starts, but Tetreault has factored into every decision. It was a rough first start (vs. Atlanta), but the last two have seen him go a total of 13 innings and give up just four runs total, three of them unearned. One advantage the Nationals have is that they’ve seen Castano previously. He’s 0-2 against them in this career with a 6.75 ERA. Miami has never faced Tetreault. 10* Washington

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 02, 2022
Angels vs Astros
UNDER 8½ -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

9* Under Angels/Astros (4:10 ET): This division matchup saw the home team (Houston) come out ahead on Friday, 8-1, in a rather lopsided affair. The Angels, now 13.5 games back of the ‘Stros in the AL West, will look to even up the series on Saturday with Patrick Sandoval on the mound. Sandoval has been the team’s most reliable starter outside of Shohei Ohtani with a 2.63 ERA for the year and he’s allowed 2 ER or less in six of his last seven outings. But the problem for the Halos is that they have now gone seven straight games without scoring more than four runs. I like taking Unders in divisional battles and that certainly looks like the right play here. 

Houston’s lineup hadn’t exactly been hitting the cover off the ball recently; they’ve scored three runs or less in five of the last seven games. There was a bit of “cluster luck” yesterday with a six-run third inning, something I certainly don’t think we’ll see be repeated today. When Sandoval faced the Astros back in April, all he allowed was an unearned run in four innings of work. Also, the Under is 7-3-2 in Sandoval’s starts this season and none of the last three have seen more than eight totals runs scored. Houston came into this series having hit a collective .223 over the last week.

While I think they’ll certainly do a better job with run suppression this afternoon, the problem for the Angels here is obviously going to be at the plate. It doesn’t help that Astros’ pitching has been downright filthy of late. Cristian Javier struck out 14 Angels last night. It was the sixth time in seven games that the Astros allowed one or zero runs! Look for Jose Urquidy to keep the trend going as he has a 0.737 WHIP his L3 starts, all quality outings. His last time out, the only hit Urquidy allowed in 7 IP was a solo home run. That was against the Yankees. In fact, he just held two of the three highest scoring teams in baseball (Yankees & Mets) to two runs and five hits in 13 IP. 9* Under Angels/Astros

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 02, 2022
Orioles vs Twins
Twins
-1½ -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

9* Run Line Minnesota (2:10 ET): First off, please note that this is a run line play only where I’m backing the Twins -1.5. The home team opened the series with a one-run win yesterday, 3-2. Obviously, I’m looking for a bigger win today. While the Orioles had been surprisingly competitive over the last month, they’ve now lost three straight and remember that this is a club destined for last place in the AL East. FanGraphs even has them with the lowest projected win percentage for the remainder of the season. Meanwhile, the Twins are a team looking to win the AL Central pennant. Should be a big win Saturday afternoon. 

The Twins still have a 1.5 game lead over Cleveland in the division, but that lead was cut after B2B walkoff losses to the Guardians. Last night was Minnesota’s chance for late game theatrics as Byron Buxton walked off with a two-run HR in the bottom of the ninth. So that’s three consecutive games that have come down to the final at-bat. Considering today’s pitching matchup, I’d be shocked if that streak continues. Sonny Gray goes for the Twins and he has been red hot on the mound of late with a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP his L3 starts. Gray has gone at least five innings while allowing two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. He tossed seven shutout innings his last time out.

Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles seems to be trending in the opposite direction and he has a 6.47 ERA and 1.541 WHIP on the road for the season. Speaking of the road, this is the O’s third consecutive series away from home and fatigue could be starting to set in. Twins’ pitching has been great recently with five or fewer hits allowed in the last six games. Baltimore has not done well against righties this year (3.9 rpg) and is batting below .220 in its last eight games overall. 9* Run Line Minnesota (-1.5)

SERVICE BIO

The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!