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Larry Ness Larry Ness
42-27-3, +$11,249 with all sports the L24 days! 6-game CFB card highlighted by 10* Game of Month (CFB 10*s are 8-1 YTD!). See ALL promos. NBA doubleheader (3-1 L2 days). Check for MLB by 3 ET (10-3-1 in playoffs)!
Larry's 10* CFB Game of Month (8-1 CFB 10*s)

It's been a STRONG start for this 38-year vet in CFB 2021, led by his near-perfect record with top-rated CFB 10*s. Larry's released 55 overall plays in CFB (32-21-2) but just NINE have earned a top-rating of 10*s, while going 8-1, 89%! USC/ND is the best intersectional rivalry in CFB history and it's his 10* CFB October Game of the Month! Your move.

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Larry's NBA Las Vegas Insider (won Friday / 2-0 start?)

Most associate Larry's Las Vegas Insiders with the NFL. After all, he's ca$hed an impressive 60% of these exclusive plays going back to 2012 (that's 9-plus seasons!). However, he releases Las Vegas Insiders in all sports & MLB clients have currently been treated to a 32-14, 70% run s/May 25. Larry won his 1st NBA Insider Friday (on the Spurs). How about a 2-0 NBA start? "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in?

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

Larry's 10* NLCS Game 6 Late-Breaker (MLB 10*s: 7-1)

Larry's "DOMINATION on the DIAMOND" has lasted all season. After earning a profit of $17,578 ($100/unit) during the regular season, this 38-year vet is now 10-3-1, +$6,713 in the playoffs (up $24,291 s/Opening Day), including going 7-1 with top-rated 10* sides! Late-Breaker on NLCS Game 6 now available and it earns a 10* rating. BATTER UP!

*This package includes 1 MLB Money Line pick

Larry's 10* NBA Situational Stunner (3-1 L2 days)

3-1 bounce-back the L2 days in the NBA after a 0-3 'whiff' on Wednesday. There's a long way to go until June (NBA Finals) & Larry's ready for the L-O-N-G 'battle' against the pointspread & over/under lines. Coming off a Situational Stunner win on Toronto last night (115-83 rout in Boston), Larry's Saturday Situational Stunner earns a top-rating 10* rating. BE THERE!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

Larry's NFL Las Vegas Insider: 60% s/NFL 2012

This 38-year vet is on a current 32-14, 70% run with MLB Las Vegas Insiders going back to May 25 but most associate Larry's exclusive Las Vegas Insiders with the NFL. No wonder, as he's 104-70, 60% ATS going back to NFL 2012, after winning back-to-back in Weeks 5 and 6. 'Lucky' Week 7 NFL Insider right here! "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in?

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

Larry's PERFECT STORM (18-8 s/June 15-all sports)

Larry enters 'Lucky' Week 7 having earned a profit in FIVE of the NFL's 1st six weeks  He's serves up a 5-game Sunday card, including his latest PERFECT STORM. These plays are rare, as he's released just 26 across ALL sports going back to June 15. That said, he's ca$hed 18 of the 26 or 69%! "Batten down the hatches" and W-I-N with Larry on Sunday!

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

Larry's Featured NFL Sunday O/U: 37-22 L3+years

Larry's NFL 'Featured' Sunday O/U plays entered the 2021 season on a 33-20 run going back to the 2018 season. After back-to-back wins in Weeks 5 and 6, Larry's now 4-2 in the current season. Doing the math, this 38-year vet is 37-22, 63% the last three-plus seasons heading into his latest here in 2021 on Sunday. Over of Under? Your move!

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

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Get all of Larry's plays for today for just $49.95! Ness is a 33-year handicapping veteran and he's ready to get the job done each and every day throughout the Calendar year. *EXTREME VALUE!*

*This subscription includes 6 Picks (1 MLB, 2 NBA & 3 NCAA-F)

7 Days All Sports GUARANTEED FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

Get 7 days of plays from 32-year handicapping veteran Larry Ness! Ness is expecting a massive profit haul throughout the calendar year, make sure you're on board, get EVERY play, EVERY day for an entire week!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (3 NFL, 1 MLB, 2 NBA & 3 NCAA-F)

1 MONTH ALL PICKS FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry is widely regarded as one of the World's leading handicappers. He's been nothing short of electric since coming on this site. Big things are expected in 2018 Wagering Season!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (3 NFL, 1 MLB, 2 NBA & 3 NCAA-F)

1 YEAR ALL INCLUSIVE LARRY NESS

You'd be hard pressed to find a more experienced handicapper than 34 year legend Larry Ness! Larry has put up some impressive numbers on this site since coming over almost two years ago and he's ready to offer up all of the next year for one LOW LOW FLASH SALE PRICE!

Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series! 

 

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (3 NFL, 1 MLB, 2 NBA & 3 NCAA-F)

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Larry's 2018/19 EARLY BIRD NFL Season (ALL THE WAY TO THE SUPER BOWL!)

Get Larry's FULL 2018/19 NFL season in this package and prepare to watch your "ROI" go through the roof!

*This subscription includes 3 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Nevada vs. Fresno State
Nevada
+3½ -106
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

My free play is on Nevada at 7;00 ET.

The 5-2 Fresno State Bulldogs  (2-1 in conference) host the 5-1 Nevada Wolf Pack (2-0 in conference) on Saturday in an important MWC showdown. Bothe schools have outstanding QBs, as Nevada is led by Carson Strong and Fresno St by Jake Haener. Strong is completing 67.9% for 1,990 yards with 16 TDs and just three INTs. TE Turner leads with 34 catches (four TDs and despite the Wolf Pack losing outstanding WR Cooks after just three games (he had 13 catches and 4TDs), Strong still has a strong cast of WRs. The running game doesn't help much (Taua leads with 391 yards on 6.0 YPC and 4 TDs) but Nevada is averaging 36.3 PPG (21st). The defense allows 23.5 PPG, good enough with the team's strong offense. Fresno St QB Haener is completing 67.8% for 2,326 yards with 20 TDs and just six INTs. His running game is slightly more helpful with Rivers rushing for 493 yards on 4.4 YPC with 3 TDs plus adding 25 receptions. His top target is WR Cropper, who has 48 catches and 10 TDs. Kelly adds 30 catches plus Wheatfall and Pope have 18 and 15 catches, respectively, while averaging impressive averages of 18.1 and 19.5 YPC. The Bulldogs' D allows only 19.3 PPG (24th) on 312.3 YPG (22nd).

The teams are pretty evenly matched but it's hard to ignore that the home team is just 2-8 ATS the last 10 meetings or that the Wolf Pack are on a 7-0 ATS run as an underdog in regular season games. Take the points!

Good luck...Larry

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2021
Suns vs Lakers
Lakers
PK -110 at SC Consensus
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

My free play is on the LA Lakers at 10:10 ET.

The Phoenix Suns took advantage of an Anthony Davis injury to eliminate the defending-champion Lakers 4-2 in the first round of last season's playoffs and then swept the injury-riddled Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference semifinals. on their way to the NBA Finals. The NBA schedule maker has a sense of humor, as the Suns opened the season by hosting the Nuggets and now play at Staples Center against the Lakers in their second game. The Lakers not only have some revenge on their minds (ala the Nuggets) but are also looking to bounce back from a season-opening 121-114 home loss against the Warriors.

The Suns broke a 10-year postseason drought "in style" last season, posting the NBA's second-best record (just ONE win back of Utah) and reaching the NBA finals. The team returns its starting-five (plus key reserves) but was not "in sync" against the Nuggets. Booker (25.6 PPG) shot just 3 of 15, while the entire team made only 41.4%. The starting unit connected on just 7-of-25 on three-pointers.

The Lakers lost at home to the Warriors, even though Curry made just 5 of 21 shots. LBJ had 34 points and A.D. had 33 but the revamped Carmelo Anthony-led bench chipped in with just 29 points, 26 fewer than the Warriors' backups were able to contribute to the win. Russell Westbrook was one Lakers starter not at the top of his game in his Los Angeles debut. He was held to eight points, five rebounds and four assists, missing all four of his three-point shots and hitting just 4-for-13 from the floor.

Will Westbrook eventually fit with James and Davis? Time will tell. I'm NOT sold on the idea it will but I still want the Lakers in this contest, off a loss and playing with some playoff revenge. A win gets the cover and that's my play!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2021
Raptors vs Celtics
Raptors
+6½ -110 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

 My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Tor Raptors at 7:40 ET.

The Toronto Raptors are coming off a 98-83 home loss to Washington, while Boston has to be feeling a little "gassed," after an opening 138-134 setback in two OTs at Madison Square Garden vs the Knicks, The Raptors struggled offensively in their first game (leading scorer Siakam recently returned to practice in a limited capacity after undergoing offseason surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder) but the defense was good in holding the high-scoring Wizards to just 98 points. Fred VanVleet had 12 points, three rebounds, four assists, and two steals, while OG Anunoby had 11 points, 10 rebounds, and two steals. Toronto shot 30.9% overall, including 20.6% on threes.

While Toronto's first game saw both teams score under 100 points, the Celtics and Knicks each topped 130 points, albeit in two overtimes. Jaylen Brown went off for a career-high 46 points in Wednesday's season opener at the New York Knicks (grabbed nine rebounds and dished out six assists) but fellow All Star Jayson Tatum struggled with 20 points on 7-of-30 shooting, making just TWO of 15 shots from long distance.

Toronto had been one of the NBA's best teams for FIVE straight seasons, but dropped off last season in going just 27-45. Similarly, the Celtics made the Eastern Conference Finals in THREE of four seasons, before going just 36-36 and losing in the playoffs' first round last season. Head coaching 'savior' Brad Stevens is now in the front office and Friday's game will mark the regular season home debut for Celtics new head coach Ime Udoka. Toronto's Nick Nurse, NBA coach-of-the-year in the 2019-20 season, may just have a trick or two up his sleeve for Udoka. Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2021
Spurs vs Nuggets
Spurs
+7½ -110 at BetVegas
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the SA Spurs at 9:05 ET.

The San Antonio Spurs and the Denver Nuggets each opened the new season with wins. The Spurs destroyed the Magic 123-97 at home in their opener, while the Nuggets beat the Suns 110-98 in Phoenix, getting a measure of revenge after Suns swept the injury-depleted Nuggets in the second round of the playoffs last June. San Antonio lost the "play-in" game last year and finished as the 10th seed in the West with a 33-39 record. Life gets tougher for the Spurs tonight in Denver.

The Spurs saw the departures of DeMar DeRozan (21.6-4.2-6.9), Rudy Gay (11.4 & 4.8) and Patty Mills (10.8) this past offseason, leaving a group of supporting players playing in a free-flowing offense. Dejounte Murray (15.7-7.1-5.4 in 2020-21) is now the "go-to" guy in San Antonio and with DeMar DeRozan gone, Derrick White (15.4 last season) is expected to take on a much bigger role this season for Greg Popovich. All five SA starters scored in double digits vs the Magic, while Vassell (19) and Walker (17) were the top-two scorers for the Spurs, coming off the bench.

Denver is much healthier than it was at the end of last season but Jamal Murray is still rehabbing from his ACL tear suffered in April. Forward Aaron Gordon, who came over in a trade with the Magic in March, looks 100 percent and Will Barton has his legs back after struggling with knee and ankle injuries in the spring. Most significant is the health of reigning MVP Nikola Jokic. He is the key to the Nuggets' offense, which he showed in Wednesday's win by finishing with 27 points and 13 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. signed an extension before the season and had 15 points plus Gordon, who also signed an extension, had 12 points and a huge block in the fourth quarter that helped the Nuggets keep the lead.

Denver has the depth and talent to step up over the first half of the season until star guard Jamal Murray finally returns from injury. However, as noted above, Popovich has a roster of players to run his free-flowing offense. Case in point, SEVEN players scored in double digits vs Orlando. The Spurs got a 'breather' vs the Magic but now play their next three games against the Nuggets, Bucks and Lakers. San Antonio's depth could be the difference here (ATS), as Denver's reserves struggled in the preseason against Phoenix. Collectively the bench was a minus-52 but played better in the second half when Malone kept one or two starters in the game with reserves. The starters were a plus-112. Grab the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2021
Jazz vs Kings
Kings
+6 -106 at pinnacle
Lost
$106.0
Play Type: Top Premium

 My 10* Game of the Week is on the Sac Kings at ET.

The Utah Jazz compiled the best record in the league last season (52-20) but suffered the disappointment of a second-round playoff exit. As for the Sacramento Kings, they finished 31-41 last season, extending the team's almost unfathomable 15-year playoff drought (longest active in the NBA). The Jazz opened with a 107-86 home victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder (held the Thunder to just 37.4% shooting), while the Kings opened their season with an impressive 124-121 road win over the Portland Trail Blazers (both played on Wednesday).

Naturally, the Jazz are a better team than the Kings (duh!) and series history points to Utah (Jazz have won 13 of the past 15 meetings) but I've got a feeling the Kings will be much more competitive in the 2021-22 season. Utah had six players in double digits against the Thunder, led by Bogdanovich's 22. Gobert had a double-double (16 & 21) but Mitchell (26.4 PPG last season) had a modest 16 on 6 of 17 shooting (including 3 of 10 on threes). The Kings' Harrison Barnes carried the Kings with career highs of 36 points and eight 3-pointers. PG De'Aaron Fox added 27 points and eight assists plus center Richaun Holmes had 21 points and 11 rebounds (Buddy Hield scored 17 points off the bench).

Here's the rub. As noted above, the Jazz have won 13 of the last 15 against the Kings and that includes all three last season, with an average winning margin of 29 points. In fact, Utah set a franchise record for points when it demolished the Kings 154-105 in Sacramento on April 28. My bet? The Kings 'sneak up' on the Jazz, who could be forgiven for taking Sacramento lightly in only the second game of the season. Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 22, 2021
Red Sox vs Astros
Red Sox
-101 at pinnacle
Lost
$101.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Game of the Week is on the Bos Red Sox at 8:08 ET.

Before I start, this is an "action" play on the Boston Red Sox, so no need to use listed pitchers!

Houston took Game 1 of this series 5-4 but then Houston pitching got PULVERIZED in Games 2 and 3, losing 9-5 and 12-3. Houston fell behind 8-0 by the second inning in Game 2 and then 9-0 by the third inning of Game 3, as the Red Sox became the first team ever with THREE grand slams in the same postseason series. J.D. Martinez and Rafael Devers each hit one in the Red Sox's Game 2 win and then Kyle Schwarber's second-inning grand slam Monday punctuated Boston's six-run second inning. However, Houston pitchers have 'silenced' the Boston bats in winning Games 4 and 5, holding Boston to THREE runs on eight hits (Red sox went 0-13 with RISP over the two games). Meanwhile, the Astros have totaled 18 runs on 23 hits over the last two games.

The Game 6 starters are expected to be Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA in the regular season) and Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30 ERA). Eovaldi began the current season just 50-56 in his career (4.27 ERA) and his 2021 season ranks as the second-best since joining the majors back in 2011 (he somehow went 14-3 with the NYY in 2015 despite a 4.27 ERA). Eovaldi has made three postseason starts, lasting 5.1, 5 and 5.1 innings, while allowing six ERs (3.45 ERA). He entered Game 4 in the 9th inning and the bottom fell out in that disastrous inning on Tuesday. Eovaldi didn't get the benefit of a potential third-strike call and surrendered four runs on two hits in two-thirds of an inning (part of Houston's SEVEN-run 9th!).

Garcia made just five appearances (one start) in 2020 and in only 12.1 IP, posted a 2.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. He made 30 appearances (28 starts) in 2021 and was a solid part of the rotation. However, in two postseason starts, he's been 'bombed,' lasting just 3.2 innings while allowing 10 ERs on seven hits and six walks. That's an ERA of 24.55!! Garcia will take the mound on Friday after exiting his previous start with discomfort in his right knee. Prior to his departure in the second inning, he surrendered a grand slam in the first. "I mean, all I can do is go on his word, go on the trainer's word, and go on (Astros pitching coach Brent Strom's) word," manager Dusty Baker said about Garcia's readiness.. "They said that he didn't feel anything. Now, by that I mean -- like, I try to tell our guys to come clean with me 100 percent. Most athletes, they're going to say I'm doing good even when they're not, but you can usually sense, see a wince on one of their faces after a pitch or whatever.

One more reminder before I go. This is an "action" play on the Boston Red Sox. Who knows if Garcia could be ruled out right before the first pitch? See you for Game 7 on Saturday. 

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 22, 2021
Memphis vs Central Florida
Central Florida
-1½ -110 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* AAC Game of the Year is on UCF at 7:00 ET.

Ryan Silverfield was hired by Mike Norvell as an assistant at Memphis to begin the 2016 season. He was elevated to assistant head coach in 2019, and was named interim head coach when Norvell left to take the head coach position at Florida State. he promoted to head coach on December 13 and debuted in his first college game as head coach against Penn State in the 2019 Cotton Bowl Classic (lost 53-39). He led the Tigers to an 8-3 season in 2020 (first as a head coach), including a 25-10 win over FAU in the Montgomery Bowl, which marked Memphis' 7th straight bowl appearance.

UCF joined Division I FBS in 1996 but the Knights were just 46-44 after eight seasons. George O'Leary took over in 2004 and the school went 0-11 but posted a winning record in SEVEN of the next 10 seasons, winning 10 games in 2007 and 2012, 11 in 2010 and 12 in 2013 (12-1 season left them No. 10 in the final AP poll). Things fell apart in 2015, as the team went 0-12 (O'Leary was fired after opening 0-8). "To the rescue" came Scott Frost, who in his second season (2017), went 13-0 as UCF finished No. 6 in the final AP poll, Frost used that season as a springboard to take the Nebraska job (How's that worked out Scott?). Josh Heupel took over and led UCF to a 12-2 season in 2018 and 10-3 in 2019, before falling to 6-4 in 2020. Heupel has moved on to Tennessee and taking over is Gus Malzahn, who was fired after last season by Auburn after eight years at the school.

Memphis has been all over the map as far as its game-to-game consistency has been concerned this season. The Tigers opened the year with three straight victories, but then lost to UTSA, Temple and Tulsa over the following three weeks. Memphis improved to 4-3 with a win over Navy, which is just 1-5 but its lone win has come over UCF. QB Henigan has completed 60.8% for 1,253 yards with 16 TDs and four INTs. RB Thomas has 642 yards rushing (6.0 YPC / 7 TDs) plus Henigan's top-two targets are WR Austin (50 catches / 17.1 YPC / 8 TDs) and TE Dykes (27 catches / 16.3 YPC / 5 TDs). The offense averages 35.9 PPG (23rd) but allows 30.4 PPG (96th) on 426.6 YPG (100th).

Gus Malzahn's team has been bombarded with injuries in the early going but this guy is a quality coach and I don't expect last week's 56-21 loss at now-No. 2 Cincinnati to keep this team down. QB Dillon Gabriel is sidelined by an injury and is missed but freshman Mikey Keene is capable. RBs Richardson (317 yards / 6.1 YPC / one TD) and Bowser (295 yards / 4.6 YPC / 6 TDs) lead a strong running game averaging 204.2 YPG (129th). Like Memphis, the UCF defense leaves much to be desired, allowing 32.2 PPG (107th0. I'm a fan of Malzahn. During his eight seasons at Auburn, he was 68-35, including THREE wins over Alabama plus made a trip to the 2013 national championship game where the Tigers lost 34-31 to FSU when the Seminoles scored with 13 seconds 

Neither team is going to beat you with its defense, but the Tigers' inconsistencies from one week to the next makes them untrustworthy here. What does matter is, series history and the home field advantage. UCF had won 13 straight over Memphis before losing 50-49 at Memphis in 2020. Methinks, UCF remembers. UCF was 21-0 SU at home from 2017-19, before going just 2-2 last season. Throw in UCF's 3-0 home record in 2021 and that's 26-2 SU at home since the start of the 2017 season. At this price, UCF is a HUGE play!

Good luck...Larry

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Clemson vs Pittsburgh
Clemson
+3½ -110 at Caesars
Play Type: Premium

The first play of my STP is an 8* on Clemson at 3:30 ET.

Clemson began the season ranked No. 3 in the AP's preseason poll but opened with a 10-3 loss to then-No. 5 Georgia. The way the Bulldogs have played here in 2021 (now a unanimous No. 1), that loss is nothing to be ashamed of. However, when the Tigers visit  Pittsburgh for the first time in program history on Saturday, Clemson will come in 4-2 and unranked, while the Panthers are 5-1 and ranked 23rd in the latest AP poll. The last time Pitt won 10 games was back in 2009, while Clemson came into the current season having won 10-plus games in every season since going 6-7 in 2010.

That said, Panthers head coach Pat Narduzzi isn't buying the perception that the Tigers are a mere shell of their former self. "They're obviously a great football team," Narduzzi said. "I know they're not tops in the country right now, but they are talented. They're one of the top scoring defenses in the country." Narduzzi is correct on that count, as the Tigers are allowing 12.5 PPG (2nd) and have allowed only two rushing TDs this season. However, Clemson's offense is quite another story, as after averaging 44.3, 43.9 and 43.5 PPG behind Trevor Lawrence the previous three seasons, Clemson QB Uiagalelei has NOT been ready for primetime. Clemson is averaging just 20.5 PPG, ranking 113th in the nation. Say it Ain't so, DJ!

The QB of note in this game will be Pitt's Kenny Pickett, who is completing 69.8% for 1,934 yards with 21 TDs and just one INT. WR Addison has 34 catches (17.2 YPC / 9 TDs) plus TE Krull checks with just 17 receptions but five TDs. Pitt's defense is not quite in Clemson's class but the Panthers are allowing just 20.0 PPG (34th) on 319.3 YPG (26th). That's nothing to shake a stick at, as my grandfather used to say.

Clemson will enter this game as an underdog in an Atlantic Coast Conference game for the first time since 2016 and that should add plenty of motivation (the good old chip on the shoulder kind). It's also worthy of noting that Pittsburgh beat the Tigers in Clemson 43-42 midway through the 2016 season, a year in which the Tigers went on to win the national championship that season. Clemson has won 31 straight home games since that loss and has dominated both meetings against Pitt since, winning 42-10 in the 2018 ACC Championship Game and 52-17 last season at Clemson.

Clemson is 0-6 ATS and Pittsburgh is 5-1. Something tells me those trends reverse here. Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Kansas State vs Texas Tech
Kansas State
+1 -117 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Eye Opener is on Kansas St at 12:00 ET.

Chris Kleiman led Kansas St to an 8-5 season in his first year at Kansas St but fell to 4-6 last year. Kansas St opened the 2021 season 3-0, including solid wins over Stanford 24-7 at a neutral site) and 38-17 at Nevada. However, the Wildcats have opened Big 12 play 0-3, allowing 101 points (33.7 PPG) , in losing to Oklahoma St, Oklahoma and Iowa St. Texas Tech began with a 38-21 over Houston (neutral site) and was 3-0 when it got pounded 70-35 by Texas. The Red Raiders rebounded with a 23-20 win at West Va but then lost 52-31 at home to TCU, before beating Big 12 'punching bag' Kansas, 41-14. Head coach Matt Wells is in his third season in Lubbock, after leading Utah St to bowls in five of his six seasons. The Red Raiders have gone 4-8 and 4-6 in his first two seasons but this year's team is 5-2.

Wildcats QB Skylar Thompson is 44 of 64 for 526 yards with five touchdowns and one interception in two games since returning from a knee injury. For him to be effective, he needs balance and the running has shown promise (162.5 YPG ranks 69th), with RB Deuce Vaughn rushing for 543 rushing yards on 5.0 YPC and 5 TDs (he's also the team's leading receiver with 23 catches, adding two more TDs). The defense is allowing 24.7 PPG (60th) on 355.2 YPG (52nd), despite struggling against big 12 opponents. The Red Raiders average 168.6 YPG on the ground (63rd) with Thompson (314 yards on 5.0 YPC and 6 TDs) plus Brooks (284 yards on 8.1 YPC with 4 TDs). QB Tyler Shough averaged 218 passing yards per game before breaking his collarbone in the Sept 25 loss to Texas but backup Henry Colombi has stepped right in, averaging 264.5 YPG over the past four games. The Texas Tech defense is allowing 31.4 PPG (102nd) on 386.4 YPG (75th).

Kansas St is on a three-game slide but note Oklahoma St and Oklahoma are both unbeaten, while Iowa St was ranked No. 7 in the preseason (pretty tough three-game stretch). For one, Texas Tech head coach Matt Wells is not buying the fact that Kansas State is struggling. "K-State has beat us (five) years in a row," Wells said. "They're tough; they're physical. I have a lot of respect for Chris Kleiman. I think Skylar Thompson is gritty and tough. He has a lot of moxie. Deuce Vaughn is one of the best in the country, and they've got some guys in the special teams that keep you up at night."

Great situation for Kansas St to get back in the win column after a rough three-game stretch. Kansas St has gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS against Texas Tech since 2011. What changes here? Nothing.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
BYU vs Washington State
BYU
-4 -110 at Caesars
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on BYU at 3:30 ET.

BYU surprised all by going 11-1 (9-3 ATS) in 2020 (finished 11th in the final coaches' poll) and opened 5-0 in 2021, including notable wins 26-17 over then-No. 21 Utah (ending a 9-game losing streak in "The Holy War") and 27-17 over then-No. 21 Arizona St. However, the Cougars come to Pullman off back-to-back losses, 26-17 at home to Boise St and 38-24 at Baylor. Washington St  played just four games in 2020's COVID season, winning its opener and then going 0-3 SU and ATS, while allowing 42.0 PPG. It was Nick Rolovich's first season at Washington St, after he led his alma mater (Hawaii) to a 28-27 record in four years but with three Hawaii Bowl berths (2-1). Rolovich is a former QB, well-liked and the Cougars expected him to revive the program. Wash St opened just 1-3 but then beat Cal (21-16), Oregon St (31-24) and Stanford (34-31) to reach 4-3 (is on a 4-0 ATS streak0. However, as all have to know by now, he was dismissed from his head coaching position, along with four assistants (more later).

BYU averaged 43.5 PPG last season (down to 26.7 in 2021), while allowing only 15.3 PPG (up to 23.0 in 2021). QB Jaren Hall got hurt and Baylor Romney filled in nicely (80.0% with 5 TDs and zero INTs) but Hall is back and it's hard to blame him for the two losses, as he threw for 302 and 342 yards. He's completing 62.6% for 1,476 yards with 15 TDs and just 5 INTs, plus has run for 188 yards on 6.3 YPC. RB Allgeier is a tough inside runner and has 675 yards on 5.0 YPC and nine TDs. BYU always has receivers and this year's team in no different with Pau'u (31 catches / 4 TDs), Gunner Romney (26 catches / 17.4 YPC / 3 TDs) and Nacua (20 catches on 22.62 YPC).

Washington St QB deLaura has completed 62.6% for 1,476 yards with 15 TDs and 5 INTs. He also has some 'sweet' WRs in Harris (44 catches / 5 TDs), Jackson (37 catches / 4 TDs) and Stribling (24 catches / 4 TDs). However, the Washington St running game averages just 111.7 YPG (114th) on 3.7 YPC with the lone notable contributor being Borghi (421 yards on 5.1 YPC / 5 TDs). The Cougars are scoring 25.7 PPG and allowing 25.7 PPG.

Teams respond in one of two ways after a coaching change. They either rally and dig deep for a victory, or they fall flat on their face. Nick Rolovich was loved by his players but he took a public stance against being vaccinated for COVID-19, in spite of a state mandate that applies to public education workers. He's no longer a state employee. Do the players feel abandoned by Rolovich? Are they upset with the school? I guess we'll find out. BYU has played the tougher schedule and knows a loss here (off back-to-back losses) and the team's season would be in a severe downward spiral (plenty of motivation here for the Cougars). I'm a big fan of BYU head coach Kelani Sitake and right now, Washington St is basically coach-less. I'm laying the short price.

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).

38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."